Clinton’s Growing Delegate Lead Is Nearly Unbeatable

Clinton’s Growing Delegate Lead Is Nearly Unbeatable

COURTESY: GREGOR AISCH, JOSH KATZ, JOSH KELLER and ALICIA PARLAPIANO OF NEW YORK TIMES

 

Hillary Clinton won the majority of delegates in Tuesday’s contests, widening her delegate lead over Bernie Sanders and making it increasingly difficult for him to catch up.

Democratic delegates are awarded proportionally by congressional district, and in states that have voted so far, Mrs. Clinton has won more than half of the vote on average.

For Mr. Sanders to overtake Mrs. Clinton, he would need to win the remaining races with an average of more than 60 percent of the vote.

Mr. Sanders is also significantly trailing Mrs. Clinton in super delegates, the roughly 700 Democratic Party officials whose support counts toward the nomination. But super delegates generally support the candidate who receives the most pledged delegates, and they are free to switch candidates at any time before the convention in July.

This interactive delegate calculator uses each state’s delegate allocation rules, along with estimates of how favorable each district is for each candidate. To compute these estimates, we used a model based on polling, demographics and results from past primaries and caucuses.

 

In South Carolina, will Clinton’s expected victory shift momentum?

In South Carolina, will Clinton’s expected victory shift momentum?

Courtesy: Anne Gearan and John Wagner –www.washintonpost.com

The Democratic presidential contest moves to South Carolina on Saturday, a primary that serves as two starkly different milestones for Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sander

Hillary Clinton is looking to her expected victory here to prove her strong support among African American voters — and to cement her status as the presumptive front-runner heading toward Super Tuesday three days later, when six of 11 Democratic contests will take place in Southern states with large populations of black voters.

Hillary Clinton began a barnstorming tour of South Carolina on Tuesday. She and her husband, former president Bill Clinton, crisscrossed the state on separate itineraries, hitting a total of about a dozen events over three days, speaking to predominantly African American audiences of a few hundred in cities and small towns. Each drew on decades of experience with the powerful church- and civic-based black voting turnout machine.

The nature of the events and the supporters who attended them illustrated how hard it will be for Sanders from Vermont to break a bond with black voters forged first by Bill Clinton.

“Hillary has done a lot for us, and her husband has done a lot for us,” Marshall said. During her tour, Clinton billed herself as a unifier who would address the problems of South Carolina’s impoverished and under­educated. She name-checked local issues, trashed the Republican governor and wrapped her arms around locally prominent African American leaders.

A black pastor welcomed her to his church. A black woman in braids warmed up the crowd at an appearance to which Clinton arrived very late. The black mayor of Columbia introduced her at an event Wednesday and starred in an evocative television advertisement for Clinton, done in the form of a letter to his young daughters.

FIGHT TO THE CORE IS MRS. HILLARY CLINTON MAIN GOAL IN THE U.S.PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION, 2016

FIGHT TO THE CORE IS MRS. HILLARY CLINTON'S MAIN GOAL IN THE U.S.PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION, 2016

In her first electoral campaign speech at New York on 13 June 2015,  Mrs Hillary Clinton  said that she will wage a fight against Republicans to the core , she will fight for strengthening the American middle class and poor families , she will fight to the core to the climate change ,  she will fight to unite all of the American power . She also said that she will fight for Midwestern values.

Definitely, the fights declared by Mrs. Clinton would definitely attract more votes from middle class and downtrodden American families. 

In her election speech at Iowa on Sunday (14 June 2015) for the U.S Presidential elections 2016, the Democratic President Candidate Mrs Hillary uttered that she would be a harsher negotiator on trade issues than any other Democratic president referring Mr. Obama indirectly. It is to be recalled how Mr. Obama has witnessed a major hindrance on trade and this demonstrates his weakness such as his inability to get adequate support for an agenda and his standoffishness. She urged to Obama the need to forge a strong support by jointly working with Nancy Pelosi of California and other congressional Democrats to enhance the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal.

By aligning and getting the cooperation from the senior democrats, Mr. Obama should seek their cooperation to sign the agreement.  In her biographical video that was released recently which is titled “Fighter”, Mrs. Clinton answered the question “What is a Fighter”, and to her, a fighter is someone who would not give up easily and will fight for success of the agenda until last.

Mrs. Clinton recalled how she was not successful in refurbishing the health care system when she was first lady and how she sustained to work and finally got the Children’s Health Insurance Program enacted.

Mrs.Clintion’s years of law practice in Arkansas, as the first lady When Mr. Bill Clinton as the U.S President , as a losing Presidential candidate in 2008 as against Mr. Obama and as secretary of state in Mr. Obama’s government — all of that skilled her to be tough and to keep on fighting. 

Differentiating Mr. Obama from Mrs. Clinton, Mr. Obama is a quiet, an erudite individual, a wonk, a constitutional lawyer whereas Mr. Hillary is more of an activist,” American political system needs an activist , when you have, for example, a Congress that puts hindrances in your agenda. An activist will not stop trying and will be trying to carry all the oppositions with him or her.

Mrs Clinton is a “stubborn, determined fighter” and that the description would be “front and centre” in the U.S. 2016 Presidential campaign.

Mrs. Clinton in her New York Presidential 2016 election campaign speech said that she was dedicating her candidacy to “everyone who’s ever been knocked down but refused to be knocked out.”

Supporters of Mrs. Hillary viewed that Hillary is well aware how to fight, and she certainly saw how to fight with Republicans as she had past experience about this when Bill Clinton was in the White House.”

Clinton repeatedly tributes the economic progress Mr. Obama has achieve. On Saturday in her 2016 Presidential election address at New York, she complimented that Mr. Obama had brought the country “back from the verge of depression,” but “Hillary Rodham Clinton cautioned that we have to overcome new challenges in our economy and our democracy.”

At the same time, U.S. Presidential 2016 opinion polls demonstrate a rising frustration not just with Mr. Obama but also with Congress and Washington generally, demonstrating that Mrs. Clinton should work hard to convince American voters that she can bring something new and novel to the White House.

 According to a New York Times/CBS News U.S Presidential 2016 opinion poll released May 5, Just 32% of American voters viewed that they would favour a presidential candidate whose political experience was mostly in the government in Washington.

Majority of the Democrats are of the view that Mrs. Clinton can be more successful in building coalitions and running the government due to her long political experiences.

Courtesy: Amy Chozick & Patrick Healy – New York Times