Clinton’s Growing Delegate Lead Is Nearly Unbeatable

Clinton’s Growing Delegate Lead Is Nearly Unbeatable

COURTESY: GREGOR AISCH, JOSH KATZ, JOSH KELLER and ALICIA PARLAPIANO OF NEW YORK TIMES

 

Hillary Clinton won the majority of delegates in Tuesday’s contests, widening her delegate lead over Bernie Sanders and making it increasingly difficult for him to catch up.

Democratic delegates are awarded proportionally by congressional district, and in states that have voted so far, Mrs. Clinton has won more than half of the vote on average.

For Mr. Sanders to overtake Mrs. Clinton, he would need to win the remaining races with an average of more than 60 percent of the vote.

Mr. Sanders is also significantly trailing Mrs. Clinton in super delegates, the roughly 700 Democratic Party officials whose support counts toward the nomination. But super delegates generally support the candidate who receives the most pledged delegates, and they are free to switch candidates at any time before the convention in July.

This interactive delegate calculator uses each state’s delegate allocation rules, along with estimates of how favorable each district is for each candidate. To compute these estimates, we used a model based on polling, demographics and results from past primaries and caucuses.