EIU (The Economists Intelligence Unit) tips Hillary Clinton to win US
elections
The
United States of America goes to the polls to elect a new president on Tuesday,
November 8, 2016.
however,
it is widely anticipated that the
Democrats to maintain control of the White House.
It
a report titled “Election 2016, The Unpopularity Contest,” EIU (Economic
Intelligent Unit) states that Donald Trump is
very much disliked by the US electorate.
“In
the Republican primaries, this was not an issue, as the large field meant that he did not have to gain a majority of the vote to
win each of the contests.
He was also only appealing to members of his own
party or to those who identify with it. But in the presidential election he
will have to expand his appeal to swing voters and Democrats. This will be a
struggle,” the report observes.
The
report further says that with the manner in which the US electorate is becoming
more racially and ethnically diverse, one out of every three voters will be
either Hispanic, black, Asian or probably belong to another ethnic group.
If
the above reason is anything to go by, it means Donald Trump will have a tall
order to climb looking at how he had “described
Mexican immigrants as rapist, called for a ban on Muslim immigrants and
criticised a federal judge presiding over lawsuits against Trump University,
claiming that his Mexican heritage created a conflict of interest.”
The
report notes that for Mr Trump to win, he needs to secure a far larger share of
white voters.
The
IEU expects Ms Clinton’s
formidable campaign machine to exploit Mr Trump’s weaknesses ruthlessly. She will target
his temperament, his bullying manner and his mixed business record.
“Mr
Trump’s willingness to be outspoken—and, indeed, to cross the line of
acceptability—means that Ms Clinton is able to use below-the-belt tactics
without appearing to run a cheap campaign.
Her Twitter feed has begun a volley
of abuse towards Mr Trump, noting recently that
he had “written a lot of books about business, but they all seem to end at
Chapter 11”.
Her
lifelong experience of political campaigning gives her a formidable advantage
over her opponent, a political novice;
she will have more time to focus on
strategy, as her well-oiled political machinery runs more smoothly than Mr
Trump’s fledging operation,” the report adds.
Lastly,
the report says the former first lady will
probably inherit a fairly stable economy from President Obama, with a fall in
unemployment rate and accelerating wage growth.
This, the
report opines, will mean most people would want continuity rather than a change
in government.
EIU claims that Ms Clinton will have an advantage over
Donald Trump due to the support she would receive from African-American,
Hispanic and Asian-American voters
Courtesy – The New
Statesman
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