Things We Learned From
Hillary Clinton's Nevada Victory
1.Clinton's appeal to
traditional Democrats paid off.
At an MSNBC town hall two days before the
caucuses, Hillary Clinton made her first direct attack on Sanders' political
affiliation, saying that "Senator Sanders wasn't really a Democrat until
he decided to run for president." In Nevada, where 80 per cent of the electorate
described themselves as traditional Democrats rather than as independents, it
was a strategy that worked. Among the eight-in-ten self-described Democrats who
participated in Saturday's caucuses, 58 per cent supported Clinton, versus just
40 per cent who backed Sanders. And while Sanders won by an overwhelming
three-to-one margin among self-described independents, their share of the
electorate was too small to boost him to victory.
2.Unions made a
difference.
In the mid-day Nevada contest,
labour unions hold significant sway, particularly in union-dominated casinos in
Las Vegas. In Saturday's contest, 28 per cent of voters said that they or
someone in their household belonged to a labour union. While Sanders and Clinton
ran about even with those NOT affiliated with a union, Clinton bested Sanders
with labour-affiliated voters by 11 points.
3.She performed relatively
well with liberals.
In New Hampshire, where Sanders
notched a 22 point victory over the former secretary of state, Clinton badly
lost both voters who described themselves as liberal and those who called
themselves more moderate. But in Nevada, her margins with liberals looked much
like they did in Iowa, holding Sanders to a single digit advantage with
liberals and beating him decisively among moderate and conservative Democratic
caucus-goers.
4.Sanders may have
exceeded expectations with minority voters, but it wasn't enough.
Early
entrance polls showed Sanders leading Clinton by high single digits among
Hispanic voters, a margin that political experts are eying with skepticism
after seeing the final results in the state. But even if Sanders did better
than expected with Latinos, Clinton's apparent dominance with African-American
voters - who made up about 13 percent of the electorate -- boosted her to an
overall double-digit lead among non-white voters and helped underscore her
campaign's argument that Sanders can't be as competitive with minority voters
as she can.
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